dv said:

The ABC experts have now announced all seats except Narungga.
This is now treated as a ONP vs Liberal head to head (subject to verification in the full distribution).
Currently, the ONP candidate is 77 votes ahead. It seems likely that the final margin will be under 100, and so a recount will be requested.

Assuming ONP does win this, then the final allocation will be ALP 34, Libs 5, ONP 4, Indies 4.

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I’m looking forward to the final distro for Finniss, as independent Lou Nicholson has indeed won after being fourth on the primaries. Seems he hoovered enough Greens, Animal Justice, and other Independent votes to get past Labor to be in the final three, then got most of Labor’s preferences as well to be leading at that stage. ONP was the next eliminated and most of their prefs also went to Nicholson, so he won with around 55% of the two-candidate-preferred vote versus Liberals. Noice.

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Pretty clear now that the eleven Leg Council members elected will be 5 ALP, 3 ONP, 2 Lib, 1 Green. The total LC then, combined with those elected in 2022, will be 10 ALP, 6 Lib, 3 ONP, 2 Green, 1 Sarah Game (former ONP).
ALP and Greens combine to a majority. This is an improvement, for them, as previously the ALP needed 1 more vote, meaning they had to negotiate with the sometimes pernickity SA-Best, Xenophon’s old crew. SA-Best has been eliminated.

The Narungga recount has occurred and the win by ONP has been confirmed, with a margin of 58.