That formatting turned out fucky.

dv said:

Arts said:

Question for all you rock nerds…. The San Andreas fault… it’s been a while. Any predictions in the seismology world?

Nothing specifically but the annual risks have ticked up gradually.

To c&p from USGS:

Los Angeles area:

Within the next 30 years the probability is:

60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7

46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7

31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5

will occur in the Los Angeles region.

San Francisco Bay area:

Within the next 30 years the probability is:

72% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7

51% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7

20% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5

will occur in the San Francisco region.