dv said:

10 days out from the NZ election, polling indicates the Opportunity Party will end up being the “kingmakers”.

Formed in 2016, Opportunity has run in previous elections but never won a seat nor reached the 5% threshold for list seats. This time they are polling around 6%.

They are not natural allies of either Labour or National.

It seems likely at this point that neither of the blocs (Labour-Maori-Greens or Nationals-ACT-NZF) will reach a majority. Opportunity has played its cards close to its chest. I would suppose that the final government formation will be a matter of negotiation.

It’s election day and the above analysis still applies.

Polls close at 7pm (ie 2pm Perth time).