Date: 18/10/2018 03:54:22
From: PermeateFree
ID: 1290172
Subject: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

An interesting read into the not too distant future. However the 1.5 degree C by 2040 is very conservative, as I don’t think things like the melting of the permafrost have been factored into their calculations.

>>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted that by today, the world would be 1.5C* warmer than it was before the industrial revolution.

Which didn’t sound like much, except that was a global average.

It didn’t capture the extremes in places like Alice Springs.

To save on power, she only cranks her aircon when it gets over 35C. But she’s still got it running more than 110 days a year — about 20 more than she would have in the decade she was born.<<

https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2018-10-13/climate-change-ipcc-life-in-2040/10359104

Reply Quote

Date: 18/10/2018 10:46:18
From: transition
ID: 1290218
Subject: re: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

possibly less of a temperature shock for newborns, but if I considered it for a moment, on a more systems scale, i’d say the we will be quite glad of the opportunity to be the planet’s thermostat, and hold it there so close to maximum, perhaps just under the threshold of some sort of thermal runaway.

not at all a humiliating situation, possibly empowering for some people.

there’s the philosophical question, did humans push the temperature up, keep it down, or both.

all a big accident really isn’t it, the number of humans on the planet, all a big accident. The we is quite adept at big accidents, monstrous accidents, no less so when made up of individuals, atomized so, democracy’s terribly good that way, everyone and nobody can be responsible for things, simultaneously, quite a device, the liberation ideology and all.

i’m containing an egomania regards being part of the planet’s thermostat, it gives me an erection.

Reply Quote

Date: 18/10/2018 11:20:20
From: mollwollfumble
ID: 1290238
Subject: re: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

> What will life be like?

Depends on whether WW III has started by then.

Reply Quote

Date: 18/10/2018 11:40:09
From: Tau.Neutrino
ID: 1290243
Subject: re: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

Does the 1.5 C factor in with the 10 billion population ?

Would 20 billion equal a 3 degree rise ?

Reply Quote

Date: 18/10/2018 15:57:25
From: PermeateFree
ID: 1290321
Subject: re: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

Tau.Neutrino said:


Does the 1.5 C factor in with the 10 billion population ?

Would 20 billion equal a 3 degree rise ?

Populations have demands that create CO2 and other greenhouse gases, so the higher the population (on our current lifestyle), the more gases will be produced, thereby creating higher temperatures. However, a time will come called the tipping point, when other natural factors come into play to produce CO2 and other gases without any input from us. It is already happening with the melting of permafrost, but where it will end is anyone’s guess. The arbitrary temperatures we produce can be tossed out the window, because there will be much larger systems in play that we will not be able to control.

Reply Quote

Date: 18/10/2018 16:02:47
From: Cymek
ID: 1290324
Subject: re: Under IPCC forecasts babies born today will be 22 when warming hits 1.5C. What will life be like?

PermeateFree said:


Tau.Neutrino said:

Does the 1.5 C factor in with the 10 billion population ?

Would 20 billion equal a 3 degree rise ?

Populations have demands that create CO2 and other greenhouse gases, so the higher the population (on our current lifestyle), the more gases will be produced, thereby creating higher temperatures. However, a time will come called the tipping point, when other natural factors come into play to produce CO2 and other gases without any input from us. It is already happening with the melting of permafrost, but where it will end is anyone’s guess. The arbitrary temperatures we produce can be tossed out the window, because there will be much larger systems in play that we will not be able to control.

Plus a possibility exists something nasty could defrosted when the permafrost thaws

Reply Quote