The BoM have called it.

“Details of Tropical Cyclone Owen at 4:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 154.5 degrees East , 545 kilometres east northeast of Willis Is and 990 kilometres east northeast of Cairns .

Movement: south southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .

The tropical low over the northern Coral Sea has recently developed into Tropical Cyclone Owen, Category 1. The system has been moving to the south-southeast through today, but has recently slowed to around 8 kilometres per hour. Owen is expected to deepen further overnight and is likely to reach Category 2 on Monday.”

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

Michael V said:

The BoM have called it.

“Details of Tropical Cyclone Owen at 4:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 154.5 degrees East , 545 kilometres east northeast of Willis Is and 990 kilometres east northeast of Cairns .

Movement: south southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .

The tropical low over the northern Coral Sea has recently developed into Tropical Cyclone Owen, Category 1. The system has been moving to the south-southeast through today, but has recently slowed to around 8 kilometres per hour. Owen is expected to deepen further overnight and is likely to reach Category 2 on Monday.”

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

Jolly good.

I’m looking at a few recipes for borscht that I’m thinking of doing during the week and I’m not sure which way to go..

Hot, beefy, red, Russian borscht is only to be served with copious amounts of beer; which is quite a distinction from the cold, vegetarian, pink Polish borscht, which is only to be served with copious amounts of beer.

It has me in a pickle.

sibeen said:

I’m looking at a few recipes for borscht that I’m thinking of doing during the week and I’m not sure which way to go..

Hot, beefy, red, Russian borscht is only to be served with copious amounts of beer; which is quite a distinction from the cold, vegetarian, pink Polish borscht, which is only to be served with copious amounts of beer.

It has me in a pickle.

shouldn’t this be in chat?

Bogsnorkler said:

sibeen said:

I’m looking at a few recipes for borscht that I’m thinking of doing during the week and I’m not sure which way to go..

Hot, beefy, red, Russian borscht is only to be served with copious amounts of beer; which is quite a distinction from the cold, vegetarian, pink Polish borscht, which is only to be served with copious amounts of beer.

It has me in a pickle.

shouldn’t this be in chat?

Maybe. But a borscht may also get you through a cyclone.

sibeen said:

Bogsnorkler said:

sibeen said:

I’m looking at a few recipes for borscht that I’m thinking of doing during the week and I’m not sure which way to go..

Hot, beefy, red, Russian borscht is only to be served with copious amounts of beer; which is quite a distinction from the cold, vegetarian, pink Polish borscht, which is only to be served with copious amounts of beer.

It has me in a pickle.

shouldn’t this be in chat?

Maybe. But a borscht may also get you through a cyclone.

Rice-n-pease.

I read that Owen was not expected to impact the Qld coast. Bummer. They could really use the rain.

Divine Angel said:

I read that Owen was not expected to impact the Qld coast. Bummer. They could really use the rain.

And it’ll be a bit of a waste after all that prepared borscht.

Michael V said:

The BoM have called it.

“Details of Tropical Cyclone Owen at 4:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 154.5 degrees East , 545 kilometres east northeast of Willis Is and 990 kilometres east northeast of Cairns .

Movement: south southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .

The tropical low over the northern Coral Sea has recently developed into Tropical Cyclone Owen, Category 1. The system has been moving to the south-southeast through today, but has recently slowed to around 8 kilometres per hour. Owen is expected to deepen further overnight and is likely to reach Category 2 on Monday.”

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

I think we used to have an agent planted on Willis Island for a while.

sibeen said:

Divine Angel said:

I read that Owen was not expected to impact the Qld coast. Bummer. They could really use the rain.

And it’ll be a bit of a waste after all that prepared borscht.

I’ve never had borscht. Am I missing anything?

Peak Warming Man said:

Michael V said:

The BoM have called it.

“Details of Tropical Cyclone Owen at 4:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 154.5 degrees East , 545 kilometres east northeast of Willis Is and 990 kilometres east northeast of Cairns .

Movement: south southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .

The tropical low over the northern Coral Sea has recently developed into Tropical Cyclone Owen, Category 1. The system has been moving to the south-southeast through today, but has recently slowed to around 8 kilometres per hour. Owen is expected to deepen further overnight and is likely to reach Category 2 on Monday.”

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

I think we used to have an agent planted on Willis Island for a while.

We should build a port and airstrip there.

the end is nigh

Michael V said:

Latest track map

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Latest track map

Latest track map.

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Latest track map

Latest track map.

4am track map – another due in the next hour.

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Latest track map

Latest track map.

4am track map – another due in the next hour.

10 am Track map. Satellite image shows the cyclone to be quite a bit less organised than yesterday, so it might just fizzle out. BoM thinks so too.

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Latest track map.

4am track map – another due in the next hour.

10 am Track map. Satellite image shows the cyclone to be quite a bit less organised than yesterday, so it might just fizzle out. BoM thinks so too.

It went east instead of west as predicted.

Tropical Cyclone Owen appears to have dissipated: there’s very little cloud left at the centre of the low. Something appears to have sheared the top off it and smeared that cloud out to the east..

Our rain cloud is much bigger and stronger…

It’s now a tropical low – ex-tropical-cyclone Owen is no more…

Michael V said:

It’s now a tropical low – ex-tropical-cyclone Owen is no more…

So, Ex TC Owen went by Tamb and dumped rain, I gather. The Tropical Low got over the Gulf of Carpentaria, sucked up some juice and has re-formed.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQP0012.shtml

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

It’s now a tropical low – ex-tropical-cyclone Owen is no more…

So, Ex TC Owen went by Tamb and dumped rain, I gather. The Tropical Low got over the Gulf of Carpentaria, sucked up some juice and has re-formed.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQP0012.shtml

I’m awaiting the 11:30 BOM update to see if it is going south of me.

Tamb said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

It’s now a tropical low – ex-tropical-cyclone Owen is no more…

So, Ex TC Owen went by Tamb and dumped rain, I gather. The Tropical Low got over the Gulf of Carpentaria, sucked up some juice and has re-formed.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQP0012.shtml

I’m awaiting the 11:30 BOM update to see if it is going south of me.

I hope it works out OK for you.

Projected track

Are there any fires still going in central Qld? Hopefully Owen can finally extinguish them.

Ian said:

Projected track

My eyes!!

Michael V said:

Tamb said:

Michael V said:

So, Ex TC Owen went by Tamb and dumped rain, I gather. The Tropical Low got over the Gulf of Carpentaria, sucked up some juice and has re-formed.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQP0012.shtml

I’m awaiting the 11:30 BOM update to see if it is going south of me.

I hope it works out OK for you.

I’ve been through about 15 cyclones so have most contingencies covered.
Food, water & fuel for the genni.

Can we please call it Cyclone 2.0wen?

Divine Angel said:

Are there any fires still going in central Qld? Hopefully Owen can finally extinguish them.

Yes, there are still some, including one west of us.

https://www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au/map/Pages/default.aspx

Divine Angel said:

Can we please call it Cyclone 2.0wen?

:)

Ian said:

Projected track

Where did that image come from Ian?

Michael V said:

Ian said:

Projected track

Where did that image come from Ian?

Weatherzone video

Ian said:

Michael V said:

Ian said:

Projected track

Where did that image come from Ian?

Weatherzone video

Thanks. Found it.

Ian said:

Michael V said:

Ian said:

Projected track

Where did that image come from Ian?

Weatherzone video

Weatherpusle EP.207

Wow. Better than TV weather reports by a mile.

mollwollfumble said:

Ian said:

Michael V said:

Where did that image come from Ian?

Weatherzone video

Weatherpusle EP.207

Wow. Better than TV weather reports by a mile.

And so completely and utterly different to the BoM’s model it’s not funny.

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml

Michael V said:

mollwollfumble said:

Ian said:

Weatherzone video

Weatherpusle EP.207

Wow. Better than TV weather reports by a mile.

And so completely and utterly different to the BoM’s model it’s not funny.

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml

Here’s yet another model..

http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html?ops=gfs:2018121118:2018121703:cqld:li:null:0#sc

Take yer pick

:)

Ian said:

Michael V said:

mollwollfumble said:

Weatherpusle EP.207

Wow. Better than TV weather reports by a mile.

And so completely and utterly different to the BoM’s model it’s not funny.

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml

Here’s yet another model..

http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html?ops=gfs:2018121118:2018121703:cqld:li:null:0#sc

Take yer pick

:)

It doesn’t have to do any of that. If it wants to it can head straight for Charleville

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Michael V said:

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Looks like it’s going to pass south of me. Prolly some wind & rain.
Next update at 11am AEST.

Michael V said:

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Mmm.. should be navigable.

You see those dots along the track, they’re dart holes.

Peak Warming Man said:

You see those dots along the track, they’re dart holes.

You catch a few dart, I’ll cook them for lunch. Simple, pan-fried in a bit of butter.

Michael V said:

Peak Warming Man said:

You see those dots along the track, they’re dart holes.

You catch a few dart, I’ll cook them for lunch. Simple, pan-fried in a bit of butter.

There should be dart in the surf around your joint.

Peak Warming Man said:

Michael V said:

Peak Warming Man said:

You see those dots along the track, they’re dart holes.

You catch a few dart, I’ll cook them for lunch. Simple, pan-fried in a bit of butter.

There should be dart in the surf around your joint.

I was hoping you go catch them. I’ve got the beach rod etc.

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

TC Owen this morning. It didn’t get to cat 4 as far as I can tell. The centre of the storm will likely go south of Tamb, according to this map, but he’ll still have a very wet and very windy couple of days. Good luck with it, Mr T.

:)

Owen has been downgraded to a Tropical Low.

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Michael V said:

Owen has been downgraded to a Tropical Low.

The main rain band has passed south of Townsville.