Date: 13/01/2019 10:36:08
From: sibeen
ID: 1329526
Subject: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

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Date: 13/01/2019 10:47:28
From: Michael V
ID: 1329528
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

Mr Student of the Student’s T-Test?

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Date: 13/01/2019 10:49:33
From: sibeen
ID: 1329531
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

Michael V said:


sibeen said:

https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

Mr Student of the Student’s T-Test?

Yes.

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Date: 13/01/2019 10:51:14
From: Michael V
ID: 1329532
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


Michael V said:

sibeen said:

https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

Mr Student of the Student’s T-Test?

Yes.

I still remember something from statistics at university. That Guinness is important in unexpected ways.

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Date: 13/01/2019 10:56:26
From: Michael V
ID: 1329535
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

Michael V said:


sibeen said:

Michael V said:

Mr Student of the Student’s T-Test?

Yes.

I still remember something from statistics at university. That Guinness is important in unexpected ways.

Huh. I didn’t realise he used the pseudonym “Student”.

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Date: 13/01/2019 11:09:06
From: Michael V
ID: 1329540
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

Cheers. Interesting indeed. It certainly expanded my knowledge of “Mr. Student”.

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Date: 13/01/2019 11:15:06
From: sibeen
ID: 1329543
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

I’ve always disliked the fact that p = 0.05 makes something statistical significant – I’m an engineer, not a scientist – and enjoyed reading that Gosset thought the same.

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Date: 13/01/2019 11:35:02
From: Michael V
ID: 1329546
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


I’ve always disliked the fact that p = 0.05 makes something statistical significant – I’m an engineer, not a scientist – and enjoyed reading that Gosset thought the same.

Yeah. I have used different levels of confidence in the statistics, depending on what I’ve worked on.

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Date: 13/01/2019 11:37:51
From: The Rev Dodgson
ID: 1329547
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

I didn’t know that Guinness was the Google of its day.

Guinness
Gossett
Google

All start with G.

Coincidence?

I think not.

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Date: 13/01/2019 12:58:03
From: mollwollfumble
ID: 1329581
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


Michael V said:

sibeen said:

https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

Mr Student of the Student’s T-Test?

Yes.

Ah, good. The story I heard in Uni was that he was so humble that he submitted his work anonymously.

I wonder how well journals these days would respond to a submission by a single anonymous author.

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Date: 13/01/2019 13:08:49
From: mollwollfumble
ID: 1329587
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

The Rev Dodgson said:


I didn’t know that Guinness was the Google of its day.

Guinness
Gossett
Google

All start with G.

Coincidence?

I think not.

Wait on, Gossett, as in the Gossett ?!

If it’s the same chap, he was the first to do geometric dissections in 4-D.

No, different Gossett. The Gossett who gets numerous mentions within H.S.M. Coxeter’s book “Regular Polytopes” is Thorold Gosset. Single ‘t’.

From that book:
“Thorold Gosset was born in 1869. After a largely classical schooling, he went up to Pembroke College, Cambridge, in 1888. He was called to the Bar in 1895, and took a law degree the following year … He died in 1962.”

Different Gossett.

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Date: 13/01/2019 13:32:50
From: mollwollfumble
ID: 1329596
Subject: re: The Guinness Brewer Who Revolutionized Statistics

sibeen said:


https://priceonomics.com/the-guinness-brewer-who-revolutionized-statistics/

I thought it was interesting.

> For a quantitative researcher working today, it is almost unfathomable to imagine, but at that time, a theory of making inferences from small samples did not exist.

It still isn’t handled properly today. Student did it correctly, and modern quantitative researchers, particularly in the fields of medicine and biology, should take note.

> In 1925, Fisher published what would become arguably the most influential book in the history of statistics, Statistical Methods for Research Workers.

I wonder if there’s a copy still around somewhere.

> Some of Fisher’s extensions of Gosset’s ideas were controversial. In fact, Gosset himself objected to some of them. The most controversial of these was Fisher’s hallowing of a result that had a probability of less than 5% of occurring randomly (this probability is sometimes referred to as the p-value or P).

Yep. I agree with Gossett. Absolute garbage, the way it is used now.

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