Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

I found out day before yesterday that a nephew of mine is being employed by a university to do Covid-19 modelling.

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

Thank you. Well worth reading.

:)

Michael V said:

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

Thank you. Well worth reading.

:)

Yes. Thanks from myself as well.

mollwollfumble said:

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

I found out day before yesterday that a nephew of mine is being employed by a university to do Covid-19 modelling.

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

The Rev Dodgson said:

mollwollfumble said:

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

I found out day before yesterday that a nephew of mine is being employed by a university to do Covid-19 modelling.

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

Would that be classed as virtual model infection?

The Rev Dodgson said:

mollwollfumble said:

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

I found out day before yesterday that a nephew of mine is being employed by a university to do Covid-19 modelling.

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

here, have a ‘ and an e

:-)

ChrispenEvan said:

The Rev Dodgson said:

mollwollfumble said:

I found out day before yesterday that a nephew of mine is being employed by a university to do Covid-19 modelling.

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

here, have a ‘ and an e

:-)

Coincidentally, on another forum I’m having a discussion about whether calling someone a pedant is insulting.

Not meaning to be insulting or anything :)

The Rev Dodgson said:

ChrispenEvan said:

The Rev Dodgson said:

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

here, have a ‘ and an e

:-)

Coincidentally, on another forum I’m having a discussion about whether calling someone a pedant is insulting.

Not meaning to be insulting or anything :)

it’s like water off a ducks back to me.

;-)

The Rev Dodgson said:

ChrispenEvan said:

The Rev Dodgson said:

I hope your keeping your distance from him.

here, have a ‘ and an e

:-)

I’ve found people on other forums to be of lower cast and poorly equipped with the mental acumen to engage with in any meaningful form of debate and mostly fuckwits.

Coincidentally, on another forum I’m having a discussion about whether calling someone a pedant is insulting.

Not meaning to be insulting or anything :)

Michael V said:

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

Thank you. Well worth reading.

:)

+1

And I’ve sent the link to my siblings.

we wonder if there might be any other example they might have used for the scale of 2.2M deaths, or there is nothing else in the world than gratuitous nationalist jabs

poikilotherm said:

Morning, cool and sunny in the Styx

Epidemic model – http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html

Certainly, I’d never be insulted by an accurate description.

dv said:

Certainly, I’d never be insulted by an accurate description.

I’ve made your model predictions into a desiccated powder and am keeping it dry for now.

dv said:

Certainly, I’d never be insulted by an accurate description.

geeez, leave yourself open or what???

Peak Warming Man said:

dv said:

Certainly, I’d never be insulted by an accurate description.

I’ve made your model predictions into a desiccated powder and am keeping it dry for now.

I gave myself a fair review on those predictions. Happily, I was mostly way over, except for France which dug up a landmine of overlooked stiffs. I’ll leave it to the experts from now on.

and in other news, AU have kept their deaths under 1% so far, 61, a comparable number to the number of babies peacefully dying in their sleep in the same country each year

but imagine how bad it could have been, if it was 100% fatal, we’d have 6359 deaths now !!! 11 !
that’s as many as those Second Amendment Nutcases Of The United States Of America MASSACRE in 6 months 11!!

SCIENCE said:

and in other news, AU have kept their deaths under 1% so far, 61, a comparable number to the number of babies peacefully dying in their sleep in the same country each year

but imagine how bad it could have been, if it was 100% fatal, we’d have 6359 deaths now !!! 11 !
that’s as many as those Second Amendment Nutcases Of The United States Of America MASSACRE in 6 months 11!!

If this isn’t a wakeup call to the United States to change it ways and look after the non rich not white people nothing will I imagine

Cymek said:

SCIENCE said:

and in other news, AU have kept their deaths under 1% so far, 61, a comparable number to the number of babies peacefully dying in their sleep in the same country each year

but imagine how bad it could have been, if it was 100% fatal, we’d have 6359 deaths now !!! 11 !
that’s as many as those Second Amendment Nutcases Of The United States Of America MASSACRE in 6 months 11!!

If this isn’t a wakeup call to the United States to change it ways and look after the non rich not white people nothing will I imagine

das Geld uber alles.

roughbarked said:

Cymek said:

SCIENCE said:

and in other news, AU have kept their deaths under 1% so far, 61, a comparable number to the number of babies peacefully dying in their sleep in the same country each year

but imagine how bad it could have been, if it was 100% fatal, we’d have 6359 deaths now !!! 11 !
that’s as many as those Second Amendment Nutcases Of The United States Of America MASSACRE in 6 months 11!!

If this isn’t a wakeup call to the United States to change it ways and look after the non rich not white people nothing will I imagine

das Geld uber alles.

Genau.

Tamb said:

roughbarked said:

Cymek said:

If this isn’t a wakeup call to the United States to change it ways and look after the non rich not white people nothing will I imagine

das Geld uber alles.

Genau.

sad but true.

roughbarked said:

Tamb said:

roughbarked said:

das Geld uber alles.

Genau.

sad but true.

In keeping with the present trend in this thread: traurig, aber wahr

Tamb said:

roughbarked said:

Tamb said:

Genau.

sad but true.

In keeping with the present trend in this thread: traurig, aber wahr

Ja.

dv said:

Please consider this Saturday Morning Breakfast Cartoon, largely written by fivethirtyeight.com staffers, on the complexity of modelling Covid-19.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/

If you look at what I’ve already posted. The universal curve for the number of active cases answers the second question. We know how long we’re all going to have to stay cooped up.

But the lack of a universal curve for number of deaths means that nobody has the foggiest clue how bad it’s going to get.