Just wondering what kind of figures we will see in May in places like Africa , Bangladesh , India etc .
Basically countries that are high density population , low GDP poor health infrastructure .
I dare say figures are quite high now , but if you cant test you cant know.
Brett
Thomo said:
Just wondering what kind of figures we will see in May in places like Africa , Bangladesh , India etc .
Basically countries that are high density population , low GDP poor health infrastructure .
I dare say figures are quite high now , but if you cant test you cant know.
Brett
Thomo said:
Just wondering what kind of figures we will see in May in places like Africa , Bangladesh , India etc .
Basically countries that are high density population , low GDP poor health infrastructure .
I dare say figures are quite high now , but if you cant test you cant know.
Brett
Due to the lack of testing, it’s possible that this will only be able to be accounted in retrospect.
You can add Philippines and Indonesia to that list too.
Philippines 742 test per mill.
Indonesia 248 tests per mill.
US 15,949 tests per mill
Italy 28,245 tests per mill
Australia 19,383 tests per mill
So what do we think is a level of testing that gives a reliable indication of the number of cases?
Somewhere north of 15,000 tests per million population? Or is that too low?
remember, it’s tests per confirmed case rather than tests per population that will tell the correct answer
Thomo said:
Just wondering what kind of figures we will see in May in places like Africa , Bangladesh , India etc .
Basically countries that are high density population , low GDP poor health infrastructure .
I dare say figures are quite high now , but if you cant test you cant know.
Brett
Very little so far, except in the very north of Africa, eg. Egypt is somewhat affected.
Let’s see what I wrote a week ago. Nothing significant in Nigeria, Ethiopia or Congo, and they’re three counties in the top 16 largest populations in the world.
I really had expected Nigeria to be badly hit, as it is the least healthy county in the whole world, with India second, IMHO.
Let’s see how the death tolls have increased since last time I looked.
Egypt, up from 135 deaths to 307.
Nigeria, up from 7 deaths to 35.
Congo, up from 5 deaths to 6.
Ethiopia, steady on 3 deaths.
Egypt, number of new deaths each day seems to be flattening out.
Nigeria, not looking so good.
As for India, I’ve been tracking that. It’s not doing too badly.
Bangladesh, still only 140 deaths.
A simple take-home message from all this is that high density population, low GDP and poor quality of medical care have SFA to do with how severe the Covid-19 infection is. For instance, people in those countries may already have immunity because of their poor health care.
mollwollfumble said:
Thomo said:
Just wondering what kind of figures we will see in May in places like Africa , Bangladesh , India etc .
Basically countries that are high density population , low GDP poor health infrastructure .
I dare say figures are quite high now , but if you cant test you cant know.
Brett
Very little so far, except in the very north of Africa, eg. Egypt is somewhat affected.
Let’s see what I wrote a week ago. Nothing significant in Nigeria, Ethiopia or Congo, and they’re three counties in the top 16 largest populations in the world.
I really had expected Nigeria to be badly hit, as it is the least healthy county in the whole world, with India second, IMHO.
Let’s see how the death tolls have increased since last time I looked.
Egypt, up from 135 deaths to 307.
Nigeria, up from 7 deaths to 35.
Congo, up from 5 deaths to 6.
Ethiopia, steady on 3 deaths.Egypt, number of new deaths each day seems to be flattening out.
Nigeria, not looking so good.
As for India, I’ve been tracking that. It’s not doing too badly.
Bangladesh, still only 140 deaths.
A simple take-home message from all this is that high density population, low GDP and poor quality of medical care have SFA to do with how severe the Covid-19 infection is. For instance, people in those countries may already have immunity because of their poor health care.
Do they regularly eat bats in India?
A further piece of trivia.
Vietnam is the only one of the top 16 most populous countries with no deaths from Covid-19.
North Korea is still claiming that there are no cases there.
The USA had the worst death toll in the 1968 Hong Kong Flu as well.
GDP and population density really doesn’t seem to have a significant negative effect.
https://youtu.be/wktH8sdPHl0