Date: 4/09/2020 13:47:49
From: PermeateFree
ID: 1614460
Subject: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

Why the once great Maya civilization withered away is still a matter of debate among historians, archaeologists, and geoscientists. The leading theory is that the Maya suffered a series of severe droughts around 800–1100. New evidence suggests there may have been another reason: severe tropical storms.

One source for finding undisturbed sediments is blue holes, marine sinkholes into which sediments are continually deposited. Generally, the sediments in deposition layers are smooth. But when a large storm passes by, it rakes up and deposits coarse particles. Because of the structure of a blue hole, material can be deposited but cannot get out, allowing the feature to act as a near-perfect record of ancient storms.

Now Dominik Schmitt of Goethe University in Frankfurt, Germany, and colleagues have reconstructed past storms in the region going back 2,000 years. The researchers recovered and studied an 8.5-meter-long sediment core from the Great Blue Hole on Lighthouse Reef off the coast of Belize.

The sediments also revealed something else. “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),” said Schmitt. The shift happened right around the time when the Maya civilization was in decline.

The Classic Maya civilization, which once occupied most of the Yucatán Peninsula, began to wane starting in the late 800s. During the next century, great Maya cities like Copán (in what is now Honduras) and Tikal (in what is now Guatemala) were abandoned.

Climate change is thought to have been a primary driver of this collapse. The leading theory suggests that a series of severe and prolonged droughts plagued the Yucatán Peninsula, which may have reduced the availability of fresh water and decreased agricultural productivity.

In addition to drought, the Maya may have had to contend with increased and more unpredictable Caribbean cyclones. The Great Blue Hole sediment core showed five exceptionally thick layers—15 to 30 centimeters—deposited between 700 and 1150. These layers suggest extremely intense cyclones; for comparison, the deposition layer left by Hurricane Hattie, a Category 5 hurricane that passed over the same area in 1961, was just 4 centimeters thick.

Two of the ancient cyclones struck during drought periods, and the others struck just before and after severe droughts. It’s likely these cyclone landfalls destroyed Maya infrastructure, caused coastal flooding and crop failures, and added to the environmental stress of the intensive drought phases.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/severe-cyclones-may-have-played-role-maya-collapse-180975717/

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 14:53:07
From: mollwollfumble
ID: 1614487
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 14:53:59
From: PermeateFree
ID: 1614491
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

mollwollfumble said:


> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

Droughts and warmer coastal water.

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 14:55:06
From: party_pants
ID: 1614494
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

mollwollfumble said:


> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

the Pope.

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 14:58:02
From: The Rev Dodgson
ID: 1614498
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

mollwollfumble said:


> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

I’m pretty sure that the idea that there was no variation in the climate before human GHG emissions is not widely held by climate scientists.

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 15:00:56
From: SCIENCE
ID: 1614500
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

mollwollfumble said:


> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

CHINA

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 15:43:24
From: Tamb
ID: 1614521
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

SCIENCE said:


mollwollfumble said:

> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

CHINA


I don’t think you can blame it on crockery.

Reply Quote

Date: 4/09/2020 16:24:00
From: esselte
ID: 1614530
Subject: re: Severe Cyclones May Have Played a Role in the Maya Collapse

mollwollfumble said:


> “The tropical cyclone activity of the southwestern Caribbean generally shifted from a less active (100–900 CE) to a more active state (900 CE to modern),”

You can’t blame that on coal fired power stations.

What can you blame it on?

Natural changes in: 1)sea surface temperature (affecting evaporation), 2)El Nino/La Nina (affecting vertical wind shear) and the 3)North Atlantic Oscillation (affecting the track that the storm takes as it develops).


Reply Quote