The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 September to 12 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 September to 14 September, and 23 September to 27 September.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 September to 12 September, 13 September to 17 September, and 17 September to 21 September.

a warm day yesterday for the parade and earth festival, Costa was here, today mainly sunny, about 22degC, clouds building, a few spits.
we need a good lot of rain and wind to clean the place up :)

currently a very balmy 19.9 here

Gorgeous here. I’m working in the fernery cutting back fronds and ferns. Next I will give them all a light seasol drink. I have a huge pile of pruning’s.

R-A-I-N?????

You reckon?

Why was Costa there?

Costa and Jerry were here for the Life Earth Festival at the community gardens.

Were you there also? If so, how was it?

Dinetta said:

Were you there also? If so, how was it?

i was there, and yes a good day, too much on the program to describe, loads of workshops, performances, talks etc.

I’ve had to abandon the mowing…..I looked like a red traffic light after a bit more than an hour. But I got a goodly amount done. I’ll do a bit more tomorrow….I’ll have to be outside anyway as the floor man will be doing the hall and kitchen floating floor. Which means I have to do some serious clearing out of stuff from the kitchen tonight.

trichome said:

Dinetta said:

Were you there also? If so, how was it?

i was there, and yes a good day, too much on the program to describe, loads of workshops, performances, talks etc.

(y)

radar reckons we have rain at the mo. well i can’t see any :)

trichome said:

radar reckons we have rain at the mo. well i can’t see any :)

Been a bit humid here at times but not a clod to be seen…

windy, part sun, part cloudy, some rain last night, not enough, only settled the dust, at least the wind is starting to clear the air, rain, good rain is what we need, maybe 21 today.

gunna be 28 here today.

roughbarked said:

gunna be 28 here today.

that’s summer weather!

roughbarked said:

gunna be 28 here today.

You’re ahead of me, only got to 25C today…thought it felt cool(ish)

The temp yo-yo’d during the night last night, I can hack cool nights!!

9.2C at 06:30, when I dragged meself out of bed for an early morning walk…

Altho’ it got down to 7.7C this morning, it felt colder… I think the succession of warmer days are starting to make these minimums more remarkable than they were during the “winter”…

We had a 4 this morning. But a few minutes on the pushbike fixed any feelings of coldness! I did remember to put my gloves on though.

I thought about getting up for my walk but decided on another “rest”…back into it tonight…

Gee a breeze sprang up just now…reckon the temp dropped by 5C…

30mm and still raining…

The rain has been missing us. Which is annoying, because I dug in compost yesterday.

Parafield airport hasn’t even had a mm, but its poured at out place. Bucketed down a couple of times :)

bluegreen said:

30mm and still raining…

Make the most of it! Gumboots weather, and I guess you wash the dishes to the sound of Happy Duks?

Lucky1 said:

Parafield airport hasn’t even had a mm, but its poured at out place. Bucketed down a couple of times :)

The airfield doesn’t need it!

Dinetta said:

bluegreen said:

30mm and still raining…

Make the most of it! Gumboots weather, and I guess you wash the dishes to the sound of Happy Duks?

the ducks are loving it, the chooks look rather bedraggled.

32 mm here.

roughbarked said:

32 mm here.

Good going…we had lightning towards the south yesterday evening…

:)

We had an inch last night. First rain since early July. Thank you God.

pomolo said:

We had an inch last night. First rain since early July. Thank you God.

so Huey tripped over the wAtering can.. I wish he’d always drionk more stumble fluid.

pomolo said:

We had an inch last night. First rain since early July. Thank you God.

Glad it’s raining somewhere in the state…

The wind has dropped!!!

YAY!!

the wind has dropped!!!!!!!!!!!!

I can now understand why winds can drive people mad … be alright on a boat cos you’d be moving along with it, but watching the seedlings in the worm farm shrivel up and die is disheartening…

Dinetta said:

The wind has dropped!!!

YAY!!

the wind has dropped!!!!!!!!!!!!

I can now understand why winds can drive people mad … be alright on a boat cos you’d be moving along with it, but watching the seedlings in the worm farm shrivel up and die is disheartening…

Wind be the devil.

Going to be a minimum of 8C tomorrow morning…coolies!!

Still 33.6C at the aerodrome, but the breeze has become fitful as the ground cools off now the sun has gone down…

Back to cold tomorrow, with rain and strong winds forecast.

28.6C @ 22.12 hours…hope it drops another 10C during the night…

Good morning Gardeners. We have around 8 degrees, high cloud and wind. Base levels around 30-40km/hr since the early hours, gusting up to a bit under 70. Around 4.00am the power went out and that made the fire listening set go loudly staticy (needs new batteries or replacement). It wasn’t out for long, but it’s a bit difficult to really drop back off to sleep with such gusts around. You would think the SWWA people might have taken at least some of the energy out of it before sending it over here……but I suppose there is a reason they put the windfarm just south of us.

:)

19C at the aerodrome weather station…this looks like being our minimum for the day…

Oh this wind! I did a flashy in the backyard. Bent slightly to fill the chooks feed dish and my nightie went up. Just as well no one was home. The chooks look like those frizzle breeds lol.

drove into town this morning. The car kept wanting to go sideways and I went through at least six independent rain showers with sunshine in between.

Happy Potter said:

Back to cold tomorrow, with rain and strong winds forecast.

Not where I am…at #1 daughter’s place in Sydney. 30.3C NW winds 31kph, 61kph wind gusts :(

1. daughter is in Victoria (Lilydale area) for work so she won’t be happy if it’s cold :)

Airconditioning on in the office here…I have two sprinklers going, just little ones…for the wild birds and domestics…

40C at 15:00 hours but has dropped 0.5C since…the day is yet young when it comes to warming up…wind finally blowing from the SW which I hope augers well…

bluegreen said:

drove into town this morning. The car kept wanting to go sideways and I went through at least six independent rain showers with sunshine in between.

That’s windy, BlueGreen!

Dinetta said:

bluegreen said:

drove into town this morning. The car kept wanting to go sideways and I went through at least six independent rain showers with sunshine in between.

That’s windy, BlueGreen!

I was sitting in the car, engine off, waiting for the man to come out of a shopping centre and the car was rocking. Lots of trees down in this area but the only damage I heard about was a friends shed door blown off it’s hinges.

Happy Potter said:

I was sitting in the car, engine off, waiting for the man to come out of a shopping centre and the car was rocking. Lots of trees down in this area but the only damage I heard about was a friends shed door blown off it’s hinges.

Hard to tell what the wind’s going to do…

23.9C at the aerodrome at 06:30…the coolest it’s been all night…

There was a spit of rain earlier in the day but I doubt the drops made it to the ground…sadly a lightning strike has caused a bushfire somewhere out of town…

Cooled off a bit, I slept well for most of last night…it’s a dry heat so more tolerable than humid heat…

That’s this afternoon’s rain band passed on…nothing in it but better than the heat we’ve been having…now 24C which is cooler than the minimum we had on Friday morning…

Just looking at the forecasts, I reckon there’s some vicious wind and possibly an intense raincell coming in the next few days…

We have 3 cool-ish days forecast: 31C, 32C and 34C… sadly all fine…

Dinetta said:

We have 3 cool-ish days forecast: 31C, 32C and 34C… sadly all fine…

hot, hot and hot! Meanwhile here in the south it is feeling like winter again!

bluegreen said:

Dinetta said:

We have 3 cool-ish days forecast: 31C, 32C and 34C… sadly all fine…

hot, hot and hot! Meanwhile here in the south it is feeling like winter again!

That’s quite comfortable, BlueGreen…as long as you stay out of the sun…

bluegreen said:

Dinetta said:

We have 3 cool-ish days forecast: 31C, 32C and 34C… sadly all fine…

hot, hot and hot! Meanwhile here in the south it is feeling like winter again!

Frosts tonight!

Chilli this morning…16C at 08:00 inside the house…

15C at the aerodrome already…I think I’ll need an extra blanket as well as the cat…

The temp has dropped about 3 degrees in the last half hour…

29C already…I’ve got the watermelon ready for the chookens…

Dinetta said:

29C already…I’ve got the watermelon ready for the chookens…

(y)

We’re supposed to be getting thunderstorms here…it’s the high winds month now and I’m hoping there’s no hailstorms in those thunderstorms…

No chance of rain, we’ve been getting consistent south easterlies which are cool and definitely not rain-bringers…

26.? in my kitchen, 31.? at the weather station at the aerodrome…cooler even under the house…I feel spoilt! Must be unliveable out there when it’s 42C here…

Only got down to 17.3C (at the aerodrome), which explains why last night was not overly cool…

Dinetta said:

Only got down to 17.3C (at the aerodrome), which explains why last night was not overly cool…

there was a frost here this morning, but the day was glorious for the Benalla Spring Show.

bluegreen said:

Dinetta said:

Only got down to 17.3C (at the aerodrome), which explains why last night was not overly cool…

there was a frost here this morning, but the day was glorious for the Benalla Spring Show.

Sweet! Did you go?

The prevailing winds have been blowing the storms away…they are coming from the south south west and the winds are from the north north east…but somebody is getting rain and that’s a good thing…sometimes I feel tempted to migrate to a very northern Scottish island…

Just remembered why I live here…pegged out my bed sheets at 20:00 hrs, went for my walk, back at 21:00 hours and sheets nice and dry, ready to go back on the bed…so I’ve pegged out my clothes on the line, in the moonlight. They should be dry enough to come back in just on dawn tomorrow.

Feels warmer but only 34C at the mo…

2C cooler under the house…

Dinetta said:

Feels warmer but only 34C at the mo…

8.3C here with a min of 3C and frost tonight.

bluegreen said:

Dinetta said:

Feels warmer but only 34C at the mo…

8.3C here with a min of 3C and frost tonight.

More bunches of grapes will die tonight.

Possibility of rain, especially if the wind drops…

Dinetta said:

Possibility of rain, especially if the wind drops…

Maybe up your way.

Zilch happening in the way of precipitation elsewhere apart from the south coast.

Storms sliding to the south of us…drat…

Northeasterly wind today…is good…(y)

massive storm

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=11.00000&lon=124.80000&zoom=5&type=darkmap&units=english&tl.play=0&tl.spd=2&viewportstart=now-14402&viewportend=now-2&groupSevere=1&groupHurricane=1&groupFire=1&groupCamsPhotos=1&groupRealEstate=1&eyedropper=0&extremes=0&fault=0&favs=0&femaflood=0&fire=0&firewfas=0&fissures=0&fronts=0&hurrevac=0&hur=1&hur.wr=0&hur.cod=1&hur.fx=1&hur.obs=1&hur.hd=0&hur.mdl=0&hur.gpce=0&hur.img=0&hur.opa=70&hur.opa2=40&labels=0&lightning=0&livesurge=0&mm=0&ndfd=0&rad=0&dir=1&dir.mode=driving&sst=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=108&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=IR4&seismicrisk=0&svr=0&ski=0&snowfall=0&stateLines=0&stormreports=0&tor=0&tfk=0&tsunami=0&riv=0&wxsn=0&cams=0&pix=0

another view:

http://www.bellmereweather.com/MTSatPics/VisWorldTyphoon.asp

http://weather.com.ph/announcements/super-typhoon-haiyan-yolanda-update-number-011

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4RsJVpVdhw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EfnIVaLRoE

Poor buggars…and it looks like it’s going to hit the “Asian” mainland as well…dilly question: if it’s autumn in the northern hemisphere, how come they’re getting typhoon / cyclonic / hurricane weather now?

Dinetta said:

Poor buggars…and it looks like it’s going to hit the “Asian” mainland as well…dilly question: if it’s autumn in the northern hemisphere, how come they’re getting typhoon / cyclonic / hurricane weather now?

i don’t know. but the tropical areas don’t really have seasons apart from wet and dry ?

trichome said:

Dinetta said:

Poor buggars…and it looks like it’s going to hit the “Asian” mainland as well…dilly question: if it’s autumn in the northern hemisphere, how come they’re getting typhoon / cyclonic / hurricane weather now?

i don’t know. but the tropical areas don’t really have seasons apart from wet and dry ?

Well the southern hemisphere is now gearing up for its’ Wet, which includes cyclonic weather, and that’s the “summer” down here. Maybe Typhoon Yolande (is that right?) is a freak of the weather systems..

If you go here and down to Figure 6, it shows that the Northern Hemisphere typhoon / cyclone weather peaks during July / August, and in the Southern Hemisphere during January / February. Of course our experience in Oz clearly shows that cyclones can still develop in December and March, so there’s an interval of about 4 months really. Typhoon Yolanda is a late bloomer by the looks of it…very late!

I can smell wet dust here, the leaves on the cherry guava are glistening…hope there’s more…

Dinetta said:

I can smell wet dust here, the leaves on the cherry guava are glistening…hope there’s more…

I scored 22 mm this eve.. Huey splashed the watering can my way.

roughbarked said:

Dinetta said:

I can smell wet dust here, the leaves on the cherry guava are glistening…hope there’s more…

I scored 22 mm this eve.. Huey splashed the watering can my way.

only 2mm here :(

45 mls / 180 points … last night at the aerodrome, and about the same here, I reckon.

Lovely soaking stuff, I really thought it was going to slide around the south but now I think the BOM radar has got a patch missing…kind of like a Bermuda Triangle, excepting the weather comes out the other side…

Chooks are busy scratching…

bluegreen said:

roughbarked said:

Dinetta said:

I can smell wet dust here, the leaves on the cherry guava are glistening…hope there’s more…

I scored 22 mm this eve.. Huey splashed the watering can my way.

only 2mm here :(

Did you get the cold snap from the other day, BlueGreen?

Dinetta said:

bluegreen said:

roughbarked said:

I scored 22 mm this eve.. Huey splashed the watering can my way.

only 2mm here :(

Did you get the cold snap from the other day, BlueGreen?

yep. back to wearing windcheaters again.

bluegreen said:

Dinetta said:

bluegreen said:

only 2mm here :(

Did you get the cold snap from the other day, BlueGreen?

yep. back to wearing windcheaters again.

sun is coming and going as the threat of more thunderstorms wanders around up there..
14.4°C

roughbarked said:

bluegreen said:

back to wearing windcheaters again.

sun is coming and going as the threat of more thunderstorms wanders around up there..
14.4°C

Amazing that we’re on the same continent…

We got another lovely soaking storm last night, there was a hail “possible” warning but fortunately it came to nothing…

Cloudy and muggy as today, but the back yard is greening up nicely… the cows dropping their calves will be grateful for the green pick…

Rain dropping all around the district, thunder and lightning but thankfully no strong wind…bit of an early start to the Wet but better than none at all…guess some farmers will be waiting for a few dry days so they can plant into it, the soil being mostly blacksoil around here…

Raaaaiiining woowoowoo….this is about the end of it (for the day) unless there’s more lurk’n’ in that invisible area to the north west of here…

Bit chilli last night, I woke several times with cold feet…on the plus side, the mosquitoes were quiet…

So it’s 16:30 and 37.2C… I am considering turning on the airconditioning to achieve a nice chilli 24C…maybe…

Just looking at the BOM radar, your farmer neighbour may have been hopeful about the forthcoming rain?

There is a monsoonal trough left over from that cyclone of last week, slooooowly wending across the Top End…

And it looks like Victoria is enjoying Southerlies straight from the Antarctic?

BlueGreen’s farmer neighbour, I mean…

Dinetta said:

BlueGreen’s farmer neighbour, I mean…

BOM has the status of God.

The biggest site for hits in Aust.

Dinetta said:

Just looking at the BOM radar, your farmer neighbour may have been hopeful about the forthcoming rain?

There is a monsoonal trough left over from that cyclone of last week, slooooowly wending across the Top End…

And it looks like Victoria is enjoying Southerlies straight from the Antarctic?

It occurred to me later that it was more likely that there was a high demand on the baling machine and that was the only time he could get it.

Dinetta said:

Just looking at the BOM radar, your farmer neighbour may have been hopeful about the forthcoming rain?

There is a monsoonal trough left over from that cyclone of last week, slooooowly wending across the Top End…

And it looks like Victoria is enjoying Southerlies straight from the Antarctic?

Brrrr. yep. Clothes off the line, they won’t dry today, now on a large clothes horse on the patio.

roughbarked said:

Dinetta said:

BlueGreen’s farmer neighbour, I mean…

BOM has the status of God.

The biggest site for hits in Aust.

There’s just so much information, presented very well…I don’t know about the “status” of God, but…

bluegreen said:

It occurred to me later that it was more likely that there was a high demand on the baling machine and that was the only time he could get it.

Yes, that happens with the cotton, too…so they do one run, real fast, then a month or so later, after the rush (all going well), they do a more leisurely and thorough run…not all of them, just the ones who have to hire harvesters (or find someone to drive them, cotton growing is oh-so-labour intensive during it’s short season)…

Dinetta said:

roughbarked said:

Dinetta said:

BlueGreen’s farmer neighbour, I mean…

BOM has the status of God.

The biggest site for hits in Aust.

There’s just so much information, presented very well…I don’t know about the “status” of God, but…

Depends upon where you lay your prayers.

Dinetta said:

bluegreen said:

It occurred to me later that it was more likely that there was a high demand on the baling machine and that was the only time he could get it.

Yes, that happens with the cotton, too…so they do one run, real fast, then a month or so later, after the rush (all going well), they do a more leisurely and thorough run…not all of them, just the ones who have to hire harvesters (or find someone to drive them, cotton growing is oh-so-labour intensive during it’s short season)…

ask old black joe.

roughbarked said:

ask old black joe.

As in, “how’s your bones?”

If you look on the BOM website, at the colour 4 – day forecast maps, it predicts rain across much of the western side of the central interior…that’ll scare the lizards…

We might get a storm this afternoon, and it looks like even RoughBarked will be getting rain next Wednesday, all going well…

Dinetta said:

We might get a storm this afternoon, and it looks like even RoughBarked will be getting rain next Wednesday, all going well…

That sounds good. I’m sure that will make him happy.

Dinetta said:

We might get a storm this afternoon, and it looks like even RoughBarked will be getting rain next Wednesday, all going well…

Wasa different story this morning. They said three days 20-40 mm.. 80% chance.. Now they are saying one day,
Wed. 90%
10-20mm The other news is that Mon and Tues are going to be between 37º and 39º.

and Mrs rb told me that whikle I was out at work today she bumped into a big brown snake once in the carport and again at the back door. Reckons she’s scared to go outside.