bob(from black rock) said:
I can remember a science master back in the early fifties telling us that we would never be able to see another planet let alone one being formed.
That made perfect sense – back then. There was a chap who is extremely famous for finding planets that don’t exist. The method he used was to stare at the same star for extremely long periods of time with the same telescope to detect wobbles in star position. No-one could test his observations because no-one else had the telescope resources to ensure a perfectly stable observation platform for decades. When someone else finally did, he found that those planets didn’t exist.
Result – back to null.
The breakthrough came three ways.
1. No-one expected pulsars to have planets, but the first planets found were those orbiting pulsars.
2. No-one, before the advent of adaptive optics, had the resolution to directly see any planets in orbit (to give you some idea, it was only recently that anyone got a clear image of the white dwarf orbiting nearby star Procyon, and a white dwarf is enormously brighter than a planet).
3. No-one expected there to be large planets in extremely close orbits – both of which are needed to get transit observations over a short enough timescale to be observed by a space telescope such as Corot and Kepler.
To put it another way, if all solar systems were like ours, we still would not have ever found an extra-solar planet.