http://gradworks.umi.com/14/72/1472657.html
The Macdonald triad is an alleged phenomenon that has enjoyed popular acceptance for almost half a century. The triad consists of three behaviors: extreme cruelty to animals, firesetting, and enuresis. It is often cited by academics, professionals, and practitioners as precursory to a variety of violent criminal careers. Presence of the Macdonald triad in childhood has long been held to be predictive of later interpersonal violence. Using a methodology based upon grounded theory, this study examined the origins and evolution of the triad with an eye to evaluating its utility as a predictive factor in subsequent violent behavior. An extensive review of the literature reveals little empirical support for the validity of this triad. The fact that the Macdonald triad has been and continues to be presented as fact suggests a need to revisit the process by which theories of violent behavior are derived and sustained.
http://criminology101.tumblr.com/post/36774642346/there-is-actually-little-empirical-support-for-the
There is actually little empirical support for the “McDonald Triad” as predictor of serial murder. In 1963, MacDonald formulated a triad of behaviors that he thought could potentially be used to predict future aggressive behavior. These three characteristics included enuresis beyond the age of 5, a preoccupation with firesetting (e.g., Berkowitz, Panzram, Otis Toole), and animal cruelty (e.g., Dahmer). This was used as a predictor of aggressive behavior, not serial murder. More recent studies have failed to link the three characteristics.
Hellman and Blackman (1966) found one or more of the triad characteristics to be present in 74% of the aggressive criminals. Using a chi-square analysis, they found a significant relationship between the presence of any one of the triad behaviors and the commission of aggressive crimes. They also found the presence of any single trait to be significantly related to the presence of another trait. They suggested that the triad should be used as an alarm to society that significant problems exist within the individual eliciting the triad. They argued that if these problems were not dealt with early on in life, they may lead to aggressive adult behavior. They argued that bedwetting is a form of “sadistic and hostile rebellion towards parents”
Slavkin (2001) discovered that animal cruelty was associated with recidivistic firesetting behavior in juvenile firesetters. Slavkin interviewed and surveyed 878 firesetters. A chisquare analysis revealed a strong relationship between animal cruelty and recidivistic firesetting. His data, however, revealed no significant relationship between enuresis and firesetting. However, he noted that enuresis was present more often in his sample of firesetters than in a normative sample.
There are no empirical studies of serial murder and the Macdonald triad. Only case studies and anecdotal information.