Date: 19/08/2017 21:39:02
From: Woodie
ID: 1106163
Subject: Lies, lies and statistics
But the ABS must provide “statistical information”. So it must adjust the sample for the whole. Otherwise it is not “statistical information” under the Act. And maybe that is why the statistician (an independent statutory officer) has decided to collect the age, gender and geographic information and make the adjustment.
It would be a terrible result for Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull. He would have blown $120 million to get this issue off the table only to have an inconclusive “no” actual vote and a “yes” adjusted vote – a problem that would not arise with an electoral commission vote because there would be no gathering of demographic data and adjustment for it.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/act-news/samesex-marriage-postal-plebiscite-a-debacle-likely-to-happen-for-malcolm-turnbull-20170817-gxyo52.html
Date: 19/08/2017 21:41:30
From: party_pants
ID: 1106165
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Yeah, I read that earlier today. Interesting.
Date: 19/08/2017 21:43:02
From: dv
ID: 1106166
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Just have to hope enough young people work out how to do b-mail.
Date: 19/08/2017 21:46:14
From: party_pants
ID: 1106167
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
dv said:
Just have to hope enough young people work out how to do b-mail.
b-mail?
Date: 19/08/2017 21:47:05
From: dv
ID: 1106168
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
party_pants said:
dv said:
Just have to hope enough young people work out how to do b-mail.
b-mail?
Baryonic mail
(Alex coined it)
Date: 19/08/2017 21:49:23
From: party_pants
ID: 1106169
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
dv said:
party_pants said:
dv said:
Just have to hope enough young people work out how to do b-mail.
b-mail?
Baryonic mail
(Alex coined it)
groan
Date: 19/08/2017 21:50:35
From: sibeen
ID: 1106170
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
dv said:
party_pants said:
dv said:
Just have to hope enough young people work out how to do b-mail.
b-mail?
Baryonic mail
(Alex coined it)
Surely that’s a good enough reason to never use it again.
Date: 19/08/2017 21:58:35
From: Bubblecar
ID: 1106172
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Don’t young people ever send birthday cards by ordinary mail?
Date: 19/08/2017 22:00:22
From: Bubblecar
ID: 1106174
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Bubblecar said:
Don’t young people ever send birthday cards by ordinary mail?
Not to mention parcels etc.
Date: 19/08/2017 22:00:47
From: Rule 303
ID: 1106175
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Bubblecar said:
Don’t young people ever send birthday cards by ordinary mail?
I remember them. I think my grandmother used to send them.
Date: 19/08/2017 22:02:47
From: dv
ID: 1106177
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Bubblecar said:
Don’t young people ever send birthday cards by ordinary mail?
(Pretty sure that’s what facebook is for.)
I just asked my daug (about to turn 20) that, and she said no, she’s never sent a card.
I asked if she has ever sent anything by mail, and she has: she returned an item to an ebay seller.
Date: 19/08/2017 22:31:44
From: party_pants
ID: 1106179
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
“.. the ABS must provide “statistical information”. So it must adjust the sample for the whole. Otherwise it is not “statistical information” under the Act. And maybe that is why the statistician (an independent statutory officer) has decided to collect the age, gender and geographic information and make the adjustment.”
So even if people don’t vote return their survey paper, the ABS must attempt to guess their position and adjust the count accordingly, otherwise it is a vote and not statistical information.
I hope this news is enough to convince the boycotters to participate.
Date: 19/08/2017 22:58:59
From: AwesomeO
ID: 1106181
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Seems to me that if you want SSM, and that is very likely to occur after a yes vote, a very odd position to take, to lobby to strengthen the possibility of a no vote.
Date: 19/08/2017 23:00:03
From: dv
ID: 1106182
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
AwesomeO said:
Seems to me that if you want SSM, and that is very likely to occur after a yes vote, a very odd position to take, to lobby to strengthen the possibility of a no vote.
quite
Date: 19/08/2017 23:03:15
From: dv
ID: 1106183
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
I didn’t want this ballot either, mostly for cost reasons, but it’s happening so let’s just get this done.
Date: 19/08/2017 23:05:04
From: party_pants
ID: 1106185
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
dv said:
I didn’t want this ballot either, mostly for cost reasons, but it’s happening so let’s just get this done.
Yes. Me too.
Date: 19/08/2017 23:05:05
From: AwesomeO
ID: 1106186
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
dv said:
I didn’t want this ballot either, mostly for cost reasons, but it’s happening so let’s just get this done.
That would be the pragmatic way to deal with the situation as dealt.
Date: 19/08/2017 23:06:42
From: kii
ID: 1106187
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Bubblecar said:
Don’t young people ever send birthday cards by ordinary mail?
Once. I have receive just one card from Australia from a son (‘s girlfriend) for my b’day.
One card. Ten years.
Date: 21/08/2017 00:50:23
From: Ogmog
ID: 1106860
Subject: re: Lies, lies and statistics
Todd Snider – Statistician’s Blues
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IUK6zjtUj00