mollwollfumble said:
There are many significant positive and negative feedback mechanisms associated with global warming.
Negative feedback.
- Increased CO2 leads to more plant growth which lowers CO2.
- Increased temperatures leads to more evaporation leads to more clouds which cools the Earth.
- Sea level rise speeds coral growth which lowers CO2.
- Increased temperature gives more wind which blows dust which fertilises the oceans which lowers CO2.
- Increased atmospheric CO2 is absorbed by the ocean.
Positive feedback.
- Increased temperatures mean more bushfires which increases CO2.
Wildcard
- Volcanic eruptions cause an initial cooling followed by heating. Depending on the type of eruption, it could swing either way.
To keep in mind
- Individual carbon dioxide molecules have a short lifetime of around 5 years in the atmosphere.
- Methane molecules have a lifetime of only 8 years in the atmosphere.
You’ll find plenty of other feedback mechanisms in the press, such as permafrost melting, but the above ones are the major ones.
- Individual carbon dioxide molecules have a short lifetime of around 5 years in the atmosphere.
- Methane molecules have a lifetime of only 8 years in the atmosphere.
>>In a hundred year period, the GWP of CO2 is measured by the EPA as one, while all other gases are measured relative to this. According to the World Preservation Foundation, the problem with focusing climate change mitigation strategies on carbon dioxide is that it has such a long lifespan in the atmosphere, taking many decades and even centuries to leave. This means that any reduction today may lower future heating, but it will not result in the rapid cooling that is needed in the present.<<
>>Here’s the kicker: methane, the gas produced extensively by the livestock industry worldwide, traps up to 100 times more heat in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide within a 5 year period, and 72 times more within a 20 year period. The good news is that methane also leaves the atmosphere within a decade. This makes for a short-lived, but intense climate changer.<<
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- Sea level rise speeds coral growth which lowers CO2.
Increased temperatures bleach and kill coral, so would not affect co2 levels.
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- Increased atmospheric CO2 is absorbed by the ocean.
>>The problem is the oceans are reaching maximum co2 absoirbtion “and Aqueous carbon dioxide, CO2 (aq), reacts with water forming carbonic acid, H2CO3 (aq). Carbonic acid may loose protons to form bicarbonate, HCO3- , and carbonate, CO32-. In this case the proton is liberated to the water, decreasing pH.”<<
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The thawing of perma-frost is adding huge amounts of co2 and methane into the atmosphere and currently adding to global warming, which will increase as temperature continue to rise.
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Natural systems do absorb co2, but these are becoming less effective and other large producers (especially ourselves) of co2 and methane continue to produce greenhouse gasses that exceeds the capacity of these systems to absorb them. No matter how you look at it global temperatures are increasing due to excessive co2 emissions largely produced by humans, although other systems like the melting of perma-frost currently contribute and will continue to do so at an increasing rate.