AwesomeO said:
Why do you think multigenerational ships are financially impossible? Because no nation or coalition of nations wouldn’t fund one?
More than that.
Fine. Let’s calculate a cost. Start with a minimum of $1,000 per kg into orbit, that’s a low figure but in the right ballpark. That’s a fixed figure, no amount of technology improvement is going to improve on that. By way of comparison, the International Space Station cost $150 billion and weighs 450 tons, so cost to orbit there was $300,000 per kg.
A working ecosystem to support the humans … Biosphere 2 had a 2,500-square-meter agricultural system and a human habitat with living spaces, laboratories and workshops. Plus an extra 10,200 square metres of non-agricultural land for oxygen generation. In total 180,000 cubic metres. That’s for a crew of 8, where 83% of the total diet came from agriculture. Even that turned out not to be large enough, there were severe food and oxygen shortages in just two years. Looking further into information, it lasted just 16 months before oxygen levels had dropped so far that extra oxygen was added, so that was essentially the end of the experiment so far as spaceflight was concerned.
Let’s look at the paper Overview and Design. Biospherics and Biosphere 2, mission one.
The original concept for Biosphere 2 was much more ambitious in terms of small size. Originally they aimed for 200 cubic metres of breathable atmosphere, soon enlarged to 480 cubic metres. Originally they aimed for 100% diet from agriculture, quickly reduced to 81% of the diet for eight humans on 2,000 square metres on an average outside sunlight of 40 moles of photons per square metre per day. Then it was expanded to what I’ve written above. Diets were calorically restricted.
For a multi-generational craft, relying solely on stored food such as on a nuclear submarine is not an option. Nuclear submarines run out of food in 90 days.
How much would a minimal active biosphere for a multigenerational craft weigh? One hell of a lot. It would require a huge amount of power to accelerate to any useful speed, even if the power was supplied by nuclear fusion.
I’ll think more on this.