buffy said:

diddly-squat said:

Current key senate rates

Talarico {D} leads Paxton {R} by 2.9% in Texas
Jaskdon {D} leads Collins {R} by 3.0% in Maine
Brown {D} leads Husted {R} by 2.9% in Ohio
El-Sayed {D} leads Rogers {R} by 4.2% Michigan
Peltola {D} leads Sullivan {R{ by 3.1% Alaska
Hamilton {D} leads Marshall {R} by 2.7% Kansas

In essence the Dems need to pick up at least three of these seats if they want to take the Senate

Between Heather Cox Richardson and Planet America, I think we’ve got a fairly good idea of what is going on. Apparently a lot of those are within the error margins. I never expected to still be taking an interest in American politics now.

Yeah, the national polling error in senate races is there or there abouts 5%, for most of the key races we’re talking about a range of results that looks something like an R win by 2% to a D win by 8%.

There are of course a lot of cavets in the crosstabes there – for instance, a state like Maine is made up of old white voters, whereas a sate like Texas is made up of younger and increasingly more diverse voters and this matters.

Of all, the two states I have my doubts about and Maine and Texas.. I think these will both come down to the wire.