Michael V said:

captain_spalding said:

Michael V said:

Not my area of expertise.

If my quick read is right, then:

09 Oct, Musk tried to blind UKraine by limiting its use of Starlink terminals, but that didn’t work, as autonomous drones guided by US and NATO satellites got through to hit a Russian refinery anyway. Then SPaceX posted a bullshit warning of a potential satellite collision, which prompted the Americans to freeze the ICEYE-36 satellite where it was. At the same time, Musks Stargaze system was monitoring a Russian satellite moving to within 650 metres of ICEYE X-36.

The Russian satellite was able to gain data from ICEYE X—36 which will enable Russia to track ICEYE X-36 and X37 from over 500 km away. They couldn’t have done this without SpaceX’s bullshit collision alert, which held X-36 in place. After that, the Russians, by monitoring the Stellar Exploration battery signals aboard X-36, recorded a thruster burn on X-36 after a recharge via its solar panels enabled it to resume tasks, and it was moving again.

By the greatest of coincidences, Stellar Exploration then immediately reduced the percentage of its ownership below that which would have compelled the to submit to US Dept of Defence audits. At the same time, SpaceX signed up Chinese satellite operators to its ‘Space Safety’ venture where tracking info for satellites is shared. Finland didn’t like the look of all this, and removed control of its military recon satellites from the civilian ICEYE company.

Now it seemsthat the Russians have what they need to track lot of the U’S National Recon Offcie satellites, and they have a Russian satellite trailing 66 -99 seconds behind ICEYE X-36, which allows them to give the Iranians 4.5 min – 7 min warning of the satellite’s approach, with two other Russian satellites doing the same X-37.

Pete Hegseth’s ‘offensive’ in the Strait seriously depleted US Navy stocks of missiles, especially Patriot ant-missile missiles, and most of theships had to leave the area to resupply. Freezing X-36 in place reduced Ukraine’ s strike ability, leaving the Ryazan oil facility unmolested for a bit, restoring its production to over 122,000 barrels per day until 04 -5 NOv, whe n Ukraiian strikes resumed, and the absence of US warships while they reloaded reduced the amount of oil passing through the Strait by as much as 80%, and driving up the price of oil from other sources, especially American sources.

Ta.

A few blunders and omissions.

The battery signals gave the Russians warning of the resumption of movement by X-36, so they were ready to get under way and follow it, or to bring in another satellite to trail it.

And Stellar Exploration coincidentally reduced the percentage of its ownership by Americans below that where DoD audits were obligatory.

All in all, Elon is pretty popular right now in both Moscow and Tehran.